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Old September 07, 2018, 18:46   #1
T210driver
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Hurricane: east coasters monitor Florence

latest on Florence:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at...?cone#contents

Florence spaghetti models:

http://hurricanes.ral.ucar.edu/realt..._track_gfs.png
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Old September 07, 2018, 22:41   #2
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focus on any prediction from Joe Bastardi co-chief Meteorologist at WeatherBell

that is if you have access to that info

he gets it right many, many more times than most others



and there are 3 problem children in the Atlantic right now and 3 problem children in the Pacific between Hawaii and the west coast ....... its getting real now
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Old September 08, 2018, 06:59   #3
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Flo is looking pissed! I want her to go away.
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Old September 09, 2018, 12:00   #4
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I hope she comes to NC. We need the rain bad. Yard is all dried up and trees looking horrible.
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Old September 09, 2018, 15:55   #5
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Be careful what you wish for nc. Prayers for us all.


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I hope she comes to NC. We need the rain bad. Yard is all dried up and trees looking horrible.
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Old September 10, 2018, 10:56   #6
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We got rain for the first time in two weeks last night.

As for Florence... "Prepared, not scared." I only had to pick up an extra case of diet mtn dew and some wine for the wife in case we get trapped in for a bit.

Praying everyone comes out on top.
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Old September 11, 2018, 13:45   #7
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now they are saying "Flo" is going to stick around & do a "Texas two step" on the landfall area, could dump 2 feet or more of rain

bad ju-ju, bad ju-ju ..........
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Old September 11, 2018, 15:59   #8
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Keeping a watchful eye from Richmond. Apparently we’re supposed to get more water than wind up here.
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Old September 11, 2018, 17:21   #9
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Be careful what you wish for nc. Prayers for us all.
No shit..that thing looks like a monster. Stock up..on everything,while you can. What you don't end up needing,somebody else more in the crap definitely will.
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Old September 12, 2018, 08:34   #10
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You fellas in the Carolinas stay safe. Bunch o' rain and surf predicted for my AO. My boat is in a very sheltered bay. Still will double the dock lines.
Larry
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Old September 12, 2018, 11:43   #11
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I just packed up my family and sent them inland to my mother's house, I'm gonna ride it out and guard the house. Too many thieves and looters during these things. I am currently right in the bullseye. Shallotte NC, halfway between Wilmington and Myrtle beach. I think tomorrow's gonna be interesting. Please pray for us and to the guy wishing for a little rain, I hope you get what you need without the rest of us getting more than we hoped for. They're talking about 17' storm surge and it's forecast to come in an hour or two after high tide. When I pulled my crab traps out of the water yesterday it was high tide and water was one foot from topping the bulkhead just with the normal high cycle. Could not have timed this worse with the tide cycle really. Sorry for the long winded post, just saw the thread and sitting nervously waiting....lol Take it easy guys. Eric (crabcatcher)
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Old September 12, 2018, 12:22   #12
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Its times like this storm that people pull together. I really appreciate all my neighbors stockpiling supplies for me. Especially the ones that drive hybrid vehicles with obnoxious bumper stickers.
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Old September 12, 2018, 17:05   #13
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latest National Hurricane Center path shows Hurricane Florence wandering down the coast for a day. Yikes! Be safe, you folks on the coast.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at...?cone#contents

Oh, and I don't like Isaac either:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at...?cone#contents
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Old September 13, 2018, 17:39   #14
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Here is a live cam on Frying Pan Tower, about 30 miles off the coast of North Carolina

Too bad they didn't pull their flag down, station is currently unmanned

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Old September 13, 2018, 19:39   #15
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im guessing that is hurricane wind noise
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Old September 13, 2018, 21:55   #16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by medicmike View Post
, about 30 miles off the coast of North Carolina

Too bad they didn't pull their flag down, station is currently unmanned
Yeah, what the heck has happened to USA Flag etiquette nowadays

They also keep showing on the news a battered flag flying in the rain on the old pier at Atlantic Beach I think it is, in NC.

This ignorance just pisses me off...
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Old September 13, 2018, 22:13   #17
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National Hurricane Updates - they admitted to it as an "unfortunate graphic."

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Old September 14, 2018, 01:08   #18
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Looks like they loaded the bottom barrel
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Old September 14, 2018, 03:27   #19
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This is odd. Here it is Friday (day of 'cane landfall) morning at 4:31 am EST and the "unmanned station has a brand new flag and apparently the storm has already blown past this point.

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Here is a live cam on Frying Pan Tower, about 30 miles off the coast of North Carolina

Too bad they didn't pull their flag down, station is currently unmanned

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Old September 14, 2018, 06:39   #20
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This is odd.
Got downgraded to a Cat 1
https://www.cnn.com/2018/09/14/us/hu...wxc/index.html
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Old September 14, 2018, 07:00   #21
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I think the flooding is the really bad part, rather than the wind.
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Old September 14, 2018, 07:42   #22
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Keeping a watchful eye from Richmond. Apparently we’re supposed to get more water than wind up here.
Yea & being this is the wettest summer i can remember in the 40 years i have been up here, it will not take much wind to bring down trees, those of you in the south stay safe
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Old September 14, 2018, 07:58   #23
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Latest forecast

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Old September 14, 2018, 08:13   #24
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I think the flooding is the really bad part, rather than the wind.
For me it's both...
Trees and such falling, and the water rising.
Every time we have a "heavy" thunderstorm, I lose power.
Usually for a couple days.
And I'm in "Suburbia"...
Yay for me.

I'm more than prepared, but...still sux.
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Old September 14, 2018, 08:17   #25
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I was under the impression that this facility was not manned right now. They are sporting a brand new flag this morning. There were many folks online mentioning that the flag was torn to shreds by the wind. It struck me as odd that they would go out there to install a new flag in the middle of the cane.

Yes I am aware that the flag should never be let to fall into that condition. Just seemed odd to me.

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Old September 14, 2018, 12:13   #26
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Yea & being this is the wettest summer i can remember in the 40 years i have been up here, it will not take much wind to bring down trees, those of you in the south stay safe
I’m south of the James and we have a LOT of big trees in yard but as of now it’s just drizzly with very mild winds.
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Old September 14, 2018, 13:08   #27
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Leading edge at landfall, 52 knots at 5:36am. Eye at 7:00am. Trailing eye wall at 8:00am with 56 knots sustained. Has to be sustained 64 knots to be a hurricane.
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Old September 14, 2018, 15:02   #28
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Has to be sustained 64 knots to be a hurricane.
On the Oregon Coast we just call 64 kts "Wednesday"
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Old September 14, 2018, 18:14   #29
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Praying for all those in danger.
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Old September 14, 2018, 20:58   #30
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Posted for the humor only. Hope the link works.

https://mashable.com/article/weather.../#JF0qUcpmpPq9

https://mashable.com/article/weather.../#JF0qUcpmpPq9
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Old September 14, 2018, 21:58   #31
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Flo is gonna be a bitch inland too....Starting to rain a bit in the foothills, off and on, steady rain and downpours @1"-3" per hour forecast to run Sat evening into Monday am. Much over 3-4"/day and things get kinda dicey around here. A tropical storm a few years ago(2005?) shut down a local highway due to the bridge over the Catawba river being 500yds downstream from a large dam(Oxford, lake Hickory) and they opened all 8 gates. You could see the bridge moving, lol.....Forecasts are all over the place, but the general thought seems to point towards 8-15" of rain by the time its over. Many places are already close to saturated from recent daily storms.

Jeep is gassed, loaded with bugout items, even tossed the para and a few mags in... I`ve got plenty of lantern and stove fuel, and enough gas to run the generator a few hours every so often to keep the freezer and fridge operational. We keep food and water on hand anyway, and if it looks like a long term outage, we`ll bugout to my parents with what food stuffs we can since dad had a generator installed when he built the house.

My only concern is my airplane. Recent storms have the field pretty soggy so I didn`t move it to higher/dryer ground. It`s in a sturdy hangar on a grass field, but it`s in a low lying area. Behind the hangar, for the length of the field, is a large creek that sits about 6ft below field level. I`ve never seen it flood on my end of the field, but I don`t think I`ll escape this one. I`ve got plenty of insurance on it, so the ins co can worry about putting ADS-B in it, LOL! Anybody want a deal on a `65 Cherokee 180????
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Old September 15, 2018, 17:54   #32
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Moderate winds and about 3" of rain so far at my place. Small limbs down here and there. I still have power so far.
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Old September 15, 2018, 18:13   #33
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Son and his family in Wilmington. They were without power last I checked. It went out at 4 a.m. Friday morning. DIL texted that power had been restored along US 17 and that some stores were reopening as of noon today. Most of the flooded roads have dried out. Still a lot of power lines and trees down clogging the roads. Son is a paramedic and has been locked down at the hospital until the roads open. No word on when his shift will normalize.

North of Wilmington around Jacksonville, leJeune, and New Bern are still flooded out and have trees and power lines down everywhere. Estimates up there are running up to 3 weeks before power can be restored to the town. Family friends got caught by the flood before they could drive over to daughters house on high ground. Had to be rescued by on to the rescue boat guys. From what I here about those guys and the job they did, they ain't gettin' paid near enough.
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Old September 15, 2018, 20:00   #34
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Just got an update. Power back on and main roads open to the south. 36 hours without power. Son's house in subdivision with buried power lines and has a couple of shopping plazas between his house and US 17. Water has receded quite a bit. Son still on shift and doesn't know when will be released.
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Old September 16, 2018, 10:06   #35
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Rain total 5.25 inches so far. Lost power at 9:45 this morning.
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