New Rasmussen Poll: Only Paul & Romney beat Obama

glockfan · February 27, 2012, 14:09

Taken from the Drudgereport:

Romney 45% Obama 43%
Paul 43% Obama 41%
Obama 45% Santorum 43%
Obama 49% Gingrich 39%

**alant** · February 27, 2012, 16:46

Rasmussen, yes, he is good at polling Republican intramural races. Not so good at polling R vs D races.

Obama vs Paul
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...bama-1750.html
Five other polls show Obama up by 7 to 11%

Obama vs Romney
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...bama-1171.html
Another poll shows Obama beating Romney by 10% in battleground states

Google "rasmussen poll bias for republicans" and see what you get.

glockfan · February 27, 2012, 17:28

Oh, I agree that Rasmussen is biased towards the GOP, and especially biased against RP since he is the only real threat to their establishment, which makes the results all the more interesting. Even though they tend to lean left, I have found PPP to be the best at polling, and they argue that a very good case could be made for Paul running the strongest against Obama because he pulls in the most independents of any GOP candidate and manages to steal more democrats than anyone else. It is interesting though, that despite the GOP bias, Rasmussen has Santorum and Newt losing to Obama, but Paul winning along with Romney.

As far as Real Clear averages, they don't matter that much because it takes many of the major polls into account, and you have already correctly pointed out how some are so biased they typically are very far off. There have been individual state polls in four of the main seven battleground states lately that show RP beating Obama by 7 in Iowa, by one in Ohio, and tying him in Virginia, too. I think from seeing how well the Paul name does against Obama it is obvious why Romney is wanting a "Paul" on the ticket, but I don't think it will happen -- which won't be from a lack of Romney trying.

RP and Romney have been the only two GOP candidates over the last year or so to consistently pull within the margin of error or beat Obama in a wide spectrum of polls. There have been other GOP candidates who might do it for a few weeks, but then they collapse. RP and Romney have been doing it for a long time. We know how Romney gets the big push from Foxnews and the rest, but it is very surprising how consistently well RP has done against Obama, and goes against the conventional wisdom.

Hunters · February 27, 2012, 17:35

Quote:

Originally Posted by alant

Rasmussen, yes, he is good at polling Republican intramural races. Not so good at polling R vs D races.

Obama vs Paul
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...bama-1750.html
Five other polls show Obama up by 7 to 11%

Obama vs Romney
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...bama-1171.html
Another poll shows Obama beating Romney by 10% in battleground states

Google "rasmussen poll bias for republicans" and see what you get.

I saw a poll yesterday that shows Obama looses to everyone, even names I never heard of....

Romney 45% Obama 43%
Paul 43% Obama 41%
Santorum 42% Obama 41%
Gingrich 39% Obama 37% and anyone but them 22%
Ham Sandwich 49% Obama 39%

**alant** · February 27, 2012, 18:51

I like that Ham Sandwich fella.

glockfan · February 27, 2012, 23:41

Be careful about referencing pork products and politics because the SPLC might consider that hate speech.

Hunters · February 29, 2012, 21:22

I'm already on their "list", very top of it. It's good to be number one

February 27, 2012, 14:09	#1
glockfan Registered FALaholic #: 42500 Join Date: Feb 2009 Location: usa Posts: 1,309	New Rasmussen Poll: Only Paul & Romney beat Obama Taken from the Drudgereport: Romney 45% Obama 43% Paul 43% Obama 41% Obama 45% Santorum 43% Obama 49% Gingrich 39% __________________ "Truth is treason in the empire of lies." - Ron Paul

February 27, 2012, 16:46	#2
alant Curio & Relic Contributor FALaholic #: 46689 Join Date: Jun 2009 Location: Maine Posts: 4,233	Rasmussen, yes, he is good at polling Republican intramural races. Not so good at polling R vs D races. Obama vs Paul http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...bama-1750.html Five other polls show Obama up by 7 to 11% Obama vs Romney http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...bama-1171.html Another poll shows Obama beating Romney by 10% in battleground states Google "rasmussen poll bias for republicans" and see what you get. __________________ May those that love us, love us. And those that don't love us, May God turn their hearts. And if He can't turn their hearts May He turn their ankles, so we'll know them by their limp. - Old Gaelic Blessing

February 27, 2012, 17:28	#3
glockfan Registered FALaholic #: 42500 Join Date: Feb 2009 Location: usa Posts: 1,309	Oh, I agree that Rasmussen is biased towards the GOP, and especially biased against RP since he is the only real threat to their establishment, which makes the results all the more interesting. Even though they tend to lean left, I have found PPP to be the best at polling, and they argue that a very good case could be made for Paul running the strongest against Obama because he pulls in the most independents of any GOP candidate and manages to steal more democrats than anyone else. It is interesting though, that despite the GOP bias, Rasmussen has Santorum and Newt losing to Obama, but Paul winning along with Romney. As far as Real Clear averages, they don't matter that much because it takes many of the major polls into account, and you have already correctly pointed out how some are so biased they typically are very far off. There have been individual state polls in four of the main seven battleground states lately that show RP beating Obama by 7 in Iowa, by one in Ohio, and tying him in Virginia, too. I think from seeing how well the Paul name does against Obama it is obvious why Romney is wanting a "Paul" on the ticket, but I don't think it will happen -- which won't be from a lack of Romney trying. RP and Romney have been the only two GOP candidates over the last year or so to consistently pull within the margin of error or beat Obama in a wide spectrum of polls. There have been other GOP candidates who might do it for a few weeks, but then they collapse. RP and Romney have been doing it for a long time. We know how Romney gets the big push from Foxnews and the rest, but it is very surprising how consistently well RP has done against Obama, and goes against the conventional wisdom. __________________ "Truth is treason in the empire of lies." - Ron Paul Last edited by glockfan; February 27, 2012 at 17:59.

February 27, 2012, 18:51	#5
alant Curio & Relic Contributor FALaholic #: 46689 Join Date: Jun 2009 Location: Maine Posts: 4,233	I like that Ham Sandwich fella. __________________ May those that love us, love us. And those that don't love us, May God turn their hearts. And if He can't turn their hearts May He turn their ankles, so we'll know them by their limp. - Old Gaelic Blessing

February 27, 2012, 23:41	#6
glockfan Registered FALaholic #: 42500 Join Date: Feb 2009 Location: usa Posts: 1,309	Be careful about referencing pork products and politics because the SPLC might consider that hate speech. __________________ "Truth is treason in the empire of lies." - Ron Paul

February 29, 2012, 21:22	#7
Hunters Registered FALaholic #: 16562 Join Date: Jan 2005 Location: AZ Posts: 347	I'm already on their "list", very top of it. It's good to be number one

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